Experiments · E101

Is there a high-energy ridge between the tungsten–tantalum and chromium–nickel alloys?

Yes. The ridge is 403 meV/atom high, but it was later shown not to explain the convergence; the reward's uncertainty penalty did.

In the log: Is there a barrier between the basins, or did the search simply not look?

supersededDate not stated in the log; it was written between the commit of 2026-09-13 08:16 and the first commit that contains it, 2026-09-16 02:04rung 3 · kinetics0 predictions · 1 result paragraphEXPERIMENTS.md lines 5920–5985
exp E101 diagram
What E101 did and how it came out, drawn from this record and the files it names (book/assets/diagrams/exp/E101.svg).

Results

EXPERIMENTS.md · line 5945

Outcome. The barrier is 403 meV/atom. This is topology, not a reward or a stopping rule.

The full record

EXPERIMENTS.md · lines 5920–5985

E101 — Is there a barrier between the basins, or did the search simply not look?

E100 found competitive compositions the generator never reports - Cr0.64Ni0.36 at -82 meV/atom against its own best of -88. Two explanations need separating before any fix is chosen, and they call for different fixes:

  • A barrier. The landscape is genuinely multi-modal and the path between W-Ta and Cr-Ni climbs through bad compositions. A hill-climber cannot cross it, and the fix is restarts, niching or an archive.
  • No barrier. The path is passable and the generator simply stopped moving once it found something good. The fix is in the reward or the stopping behaviour, not the topology.

Measured by walking the straight line in composition space between the two and screening every point. Thirty-one steps, the same screen the generator learns from.

Predicted: there is a barrier, and a large one. The midpoint of that line is roughly W0.37 Ta0.12 Cr0.32 Ni0.18, which mixes refractory metals with late transition metals - the combination the databases say forms deep intermetallics (E84 measured NiTi, NiNb, NiTa and NiV compounds 98 to 220 meV/atom below any solid solution). The hull should reject the middle of the path hard.

Falsified if the ridge is under about 50 meV/atom above both ends, in which case the landscape is effectively connected at the scale the generator moves on, and the failure is that it stopped looking rather than that it could not get there.

Outcome. The barrier is 403 meV/atom. This is topology, not a reward or a stopping rule.

Walking the straight line from W0.73 Ta0.27 to Cr0.64 Ni0.36, screening every step:

fraction along gated drive composition
0.0 -94 W0.73 Ta0.27
0.2 +108 W0.58 Ta0.22 Cr0.13 Ni0.07
0.5 +266 W0.36 Cr0.32 Ni0.18 Ta0.14
0.6 +309 Cr0.38 W0.29 Ni0.22 Ta0.11
0.8 +201 Cr0.51 Ni0.29 W0.15 Ta0.05
1.0 -77 Cr0.64 Ni0.36

Both ends are good and everything between them is catastrophic. The ridge stands 403 meV/atom above the better end against a prediction of fifty. Mixing refractory metals with late transition metals is exactly what the databases said would form deep intermetallics (E84), and the hull duly rejects the whole middle of the path.

A hill-climber cannot cross this and was never going to. No reward shaping, diversity bonus or stopping rule moves a walker over a 400 meV/atom ridge. The generator was not failing to look; it was structurally unable to arrive.

And the basins are not the same size. Of 4000 random compositions, 218 are promoted, and they divide:

family share of promoted
refractory only 62.4%
group-4 with refractory 20.6%
late transition metals only 11.9%
late with refractory 5.0%

Seventeen per cent of everything that passes involves Cr, Co, Cu or Ni - 37 compositions of 218 - and the generator has never reported one. The refractory basin is five times larger, so random starts favour it, and a population that shares a learned readout then collapses onto whatever the first successes were.

So the fix is an archive or an island model, not a better reward. Restarts alone are weak: with six seeds and a basin ratio of five to one, landing at least one seed in the late basin is likely but reporting from it requires that the run not be summarised by its single best, which is how every report in this file has been written.

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