Did the navigation-centre learning site, rather than the extra propagation step, lift the score?
No. At two seeds the run without the site (34.77) fell between both bars; a third seed later matched the site's run exactly.
In the log: the steps-4 control: is it the fan-shaped body or the fourth step?
recordedDate not stated in the log; it was written between the commit of 2026-09-16 19:06 and the first commit that contains it, 2026-09-19 08:35unclassified0 predictions · 1 result paragraphEXPERIMENTS.md lines 11416–11426, lines 11619–11634
What E178 did and how it came out, drawn from this record and the files it names (book/assets/diagrams/exp/E178.svg).
Pre-registration
The pre-registration, as written
E178 — the steps-4 control: is it the fan-shaped body or the fourth step?
E171b's protocol with FORAGER_SITES=oa,5ht (no FB site; PFL not added to the readout),
FORAGER_STEPS=4, modulation on, tag e178, 200 × 4 × 2, into the free search slot.
Predictions.
If the FB site carries it: E178 mean AUC_Q ≤ 32 (E170's level or below) and finds
≤ 72 — the fourth step alone buys nothing beyond heterogeneity.
If the fourth step carries it: E178 ≥ 36 with finds ≥ 78 — then "the central complex
learns" is withdrawn as the reading of E171b, and what the fourth step changed (deeper
propagation to the readout's LAL/DN inputs) is the next thing to measure.
Between 32 and 36: undecidable at two seeds; a third seed on both arms before any claim.
Results
EXPERIMENTS.md · line 11619
E178 result — undecidable at two seeds, as the third prediction allowed for. Steps = 4,
no FB site, otherwise E171b: AUC_Q 34.77 ± 4.28, 74 ± 10 finds, −136.
arm AUC_Q finds
E170 steps 3 (shuffled gains) 31.54 +- 18.81 68 +- 24
E178 steps 4, no FB site 34.77 +- 4.28 74 +- 10
E171b steps 4, FB site 39.96 +- 7.06 82 +- 1
Neither bar was crossed (≤ 32 → FB; ≥ 36 → fourth step). The fourth step alone accounts
for most of the move above E170; the FB site's share is ≤ 5 AUC_Q and ≤ 8 finds, inside
the seeds' spread. "The central complex learns" is not supported at two seeds — not
refuted either. Branch as written: a third seed on both arms (seed offset 2), chained after
E173c. Predictions for the replications: E171b seed 2 in [33, 47] and E178 seed 2 in
[30, 39] (each arm's own pair, ±1 sd widened to the pair's range); if E171b's third seed
is below E178's, the FB claim is withdrawn outright; if all three E171b seeds exceed all
three E178 seeds, the ≤ 5 AUC_Q effect is real and small — worth stating, not headlining.
The full record
This entry is written in 2 separate places in the log, shown here in log order.
EXPERIMENTS.md · lines 11416–11426
E178 — the steps-4 control: is it the fan-shaped body or the fourth step?
E171b's protocol with FORAGER_SITES=oa,5ht (no FB site; PFL not added to the readout),
FORAGER_STEPS=4, modulation on, tag e178, 200 × 4 × 2, into the free search slot.
Predictions.
If the FB site carries it: E178 mean AUC_Q ≤ 32 (E170's level or below) and finds
≤ 72 — the fourth step alone buys nothing beyond heterogeneity.
If the fourth step carries it: E178 ≥ 36 with finds ≥ 78 — then "the central complex
learns" is withdrawn as the reading of E171b, and what the fourth step changed (deeper
propagation to the readout's LAL/DN inputs) is the next thing to measure.
Between 32 and 36: undecidable at two seeds; a third seed on both arms before any claim.
EXPERIMENTS.md · lines 11619–11634
E178 result — undecidable at two seeds, as the third prediction allowed for. Steps = 4,
no FB site, otherwise E171b: AUC_Q 34.77 ± 4.28, 74 ± 10 finds, −136.
arm AUC_Q finds
E170 steps 3 (shuffled gains) 31.54 +- 18.81 68 +- 24
E178 steps 4, no FB site 34.77 +- 4.28 74 +- 10
E171b steps 4, FB site 39.96 +- 7.06 82 +- 1
Neither bar was crossed (≤ 32 → FB; ≥ 36 → fourth step). The fourth step alone accounts
for most of the move above E170; the FB site's share is ≤ 5 AUC_Q and ≤ 8 finds, inside
the seeds' spread. "The central complex learns" is not supported at two seeds — not
refuted either. Branch as written: a third seed on both arms (seed offset 2), chained after
E173c. Predictions for the replications: E171b seed 2 in [33, 47] and E178 seed 2 in
[30, 39] (each arm's own pair, ±1 sd widened to the pair's range); if E171b's third seed
is below E178's, the FB claim is withdrawn outright; if all three E171b seeds exceed all
three E178 seeds, the ≤ 5 AUC_Q effect is real and small — worth stating, not headlining.